Nature Climate Change

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Nature Climate Change is a monthly journal dedicated to publishing high-quality research papers that describe the most significant and cutting-edge research on the causes, impacts and wider implications of global climate change. The journal publishes climate research across the physical, biological and social sciences and strives to integrate and communicate interdisciplinary research. The journal aims to play a leading role in: providing accessibility to a broad audience to research published both within and outside the journal; raising the visibility of climate change research in related research communities as well as the mainstream media; and offering a forum for discussion of the challenges faced by researchers and policy makers (and other interested parties) in understanding the complex mechanisms and impacts associated with the Earth’s changing climate.
Updated: 2 hours 25 min ago

Exploring climate futures with deep learning

Fri, 06/13/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 13 June 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02350-w

Glancing forward to view alternative futures for limiting global warming requires understanding complex societal–environmental systems that drive future emissions. Now a study explores the potential, and limits, of deep learning to generate core characteristics of these futures.

Future climate-driven fires may boost ocean productivity in the iron-limited North Atlantic

Fri, 06/13/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 13 June 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02356-4

Fire emissions can be an important source of nutrients such as iron, particularly for the oceans. Here the authors estimate that climate-change-driven changes in fire emissions could increase iron deposition in ocean ecosystems, enhancing productivity particularly in the North Atlantic.

Facebook algorithm’s active role in climate advertisement delivery

Fri, 06/13/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 13 June 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02326-w

Content delivery algorithms on social media exhibit biases in audience selection, which are understudied in the climate context. This study combines observational analysis and a field experiment to reveal algorithmic bias in Facebook’s climate ad data across location, gender and age groups.

Using deep learning to generate key variables in global mitigation scenarios

Fri, 06/13/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 13 June 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02352-8

Integrated assessment model-based scenarios are commonly used to project future emission pathways but suffer from submission biases and high computational cost. Here researchers develop a deep learning framework to generate synthetic scenarios and replicate key variables across a wide range of mitigation ambitions.

Recommendations for producing knowledge syntheses to inform climate change assessments

Tue, 06/10/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 10 June 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02354-6

Climate change assessment reports are increasing in complexity as the knowledge base grows exponentially. In this Perspective, the authors advocate, and provide recommendations, for knowledge synthesis to become more common as a way to better inform such assessments.

Conflicting selection on flowering time

Mon, 06/09/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 09 June 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02360-8

Conflicting selection on flowering time

Lost along the way

Mon, 06/09/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 09 June 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02359-1

Lost along the way

Plant processes matter

Mon, 06/09/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 09 June 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02357-3

Plant processes matter

International gender inequality

Mon, 06/09/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 09 June 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02358-2

International gender inequality

Natural harmony

Mon, 06/09/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 09 June 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02366-2

There can be a disconnect between everyday life and the natural world, but a healthy diverse environment, where humanity can thrive, requires collective action to address the threats from climate change and development.

European Union needs large heat pump and targeted renovation subsidies to meet heating targets

Thu, 06/05/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 05 June 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02342-w

Current European Union policies are insufficient to achieve residential heating decarbonization targets. Substantial subsidies for heat pumps and carefully targeted incentives for home renovation are critical to efficiently and affordably meet climate goals. We emphasize the importance of adapting strategies to national contexts.

Improving cost–benefit analyses for health-considered climate mitigation policymaking

Thu, 06/05/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 05 June 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02351-9

Mitigation actions can have large-scale health co-benefits, which, however, are not effectively incorporated into policy design and implementation. This Perspective overviews the health co-benefits and cost-effectiveness of climate policies and discusses ways to improve their policy relevance.

Meeting climate target with realistic demand-side policies in the residential sector

Thu, 06/05/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 05 June 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02348-4

Decarbonizing the residential sector is essential for net-zero targets, and the EU has established ambitious policy packages with various instruments. This research shows that beyond carbon trading programmes, massive heat-pump subsidies and targeted energy renovation incentives are needed.

Author Correction: Explaining the adaptation gap through consistency in adaptation planning

Wed, 06/04/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 04 June 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02370-6

Author Correction: Explaining the adaptation gap through consistency in adaptation planning

Flood-induced selective migration patterns examined

Tue, 06/03/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 03 June 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02346-6

Selective migration patterns emerge in flood-prone regions in the USA. The sociodemographic profiles of individuals who were more inclined to move in or out of flood-prone areas were strikingly different. Media sentiment aggravates population replacement in these regions, leading to short-term structure changes in the housing market and long-term socioeconomic decline.

Assessing risk of ecosystem collapse in a changing climate

Mon, 06/02/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 02 June 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02324-y

In this Perspective, the authors discuss how to robustly consider climate change impacts in ecosystem risk assessments. They highlight challenges in defining impacts, indicators and thresholds, in collating data, and in estimating and reporting risk, and propose solutions to inform conservation.

Unlocking genebanks for climate adaptation

Thu, 05/29/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 29 May 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02336-8

Genebanks hold the key to crop resilience and adaptation, yet their potential remains underutilized. Now, a study demonstrates how merging genomic and environmental data can unveil the best-suited germplasm for future climates.

Prioritizing parents from global genebanks to breed climate-resilient crops

Thu, 05/29/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 29 May 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02333-x

The authors consider the future climate resilience and genomic adaptive capacity of the globally important crop sorghum using 1,937 global accessions. They identify the best potential parents and geographies for crop improvements, and underscore the need for better accessibility of plant resources.

Keeping forests on the agroforestry agenda

Wed, 05/28/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 28 May 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02344-8

Emerging agroforestry initiatives focus on planting trees rather than managing existing forestland. The result is a missed opportunity to support forest ecosystems, rural livelihoods and climate mitigation.

Maintaining crop yields limits mitigation potential of crop-land natural climate solutions

Mon, 05/26/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 26 May 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02349-3

The adoption of natural climate solutions in crop-lands, such as cover crops, no tillage and residue retention, is widely assumed to provide both climate change mitigation and crop yield benefits. We find important spatially variable trade-offs between these outcomes and demonstrate that safeguarding crop yields will substantially lower the mitigation potential of natural climate solutions.

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