Nature Climate Change

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Nature Climate Change is a monthly journal dedicated to publishing high-quality research papers that describe the most significant and cutting-edge research on the causes, impacts and wider implications of global climate change. The journal publishes climate research across the physical, biological and social sciences and strives to integrate and communicate interdisciplinary research. The journal aims to play a leading role in: providing accessibility to a broad audience to research published both within and outside the journal; raising the visibility of climate change research in related research communities as well as the mainstream media; and offering a forum for discussion of the challenges faced by researchers and policy makers (and other interested parties) in understanding the complex mechanisms and impacts associated with the Earth’s changing climate.
Updated: 2 hours 30 min ago

Ambiguity of early warning signals for climate tipping points

Tue, 04/29/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 29 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02328-8

It has been argued that parts of the climate system can experience rapid changes and that such tipping can be anticipated by early warning signals. Here the authors discuss the limitations of such indicators and common pitfalls in their application.

Urban heat islands increase or reduce mortality in different cities

Mon, 04/21/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 21 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02310-4

Urban heat islands are known to increase heat-related mortality, but a global analysis of more than 3,000 cities reveals that urban heat islands also substantially reduce cold-related mortality — a more than fourfold offset, globally. Although commonly used cooling strategies benefit some tropical cities, they harm others at higher latitudes, and instead a seasonally adaptive approach to heat mitigation is needed.

Dual impact of global urban overheating on mortality

Mon, 04/21/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 21 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02303-3

The urban heat island (UHI) effect can increase and decrease mortality depending on the season, yet global comparison is still lacking. This study finds that the UHI effect has net positive impact by reducing more cold-related mortality and highlights the necessity of place-based adaptive cooling strategies.

Government efforts to reduce fossil fuel subsidies have failed at a very high rate

Mon, 04/21/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 21 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02304-2

Many governments have adopted policies to reduce fossil fuel subsidies, but these policies almost always fail within three years. Policymakers should find new strategies to trim subsidies and promote renewable energy without triggering political backlash.

Observations reveal changing coastal storm extremes around the United States

Thu, 04/17/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 17 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02315-z

Coastal communities are at risk from extreme coastal storms. This study leverages US tide gauge data from 1950–2020 to show that likelihood estimates of storm surge extremes have been underpredicted at 85% of gauge sites and finds regional likely changes in their frequency over that historical monitoring period.

Carbon uptake rate dominates changes in vegetation productivity over time

Wed, 04/16/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 16 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02316-y

In the past decades, the duration and rate of carbon uptake have increased, enhancing ecosystem productivity. The uptake rate has a larger effect than the duration has on the temporal changes in productivity. Changes in productivity during the early and the late growing seasons are asymmetric, owing to inconsistent changes in the duration of carbon uptake over time.

The impact of Antarctic ice-shelf cavities on Earth system dynamics

Wed, 04/16/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 16 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02307-z

An Earth system model including Antarctic ice-shelf cavities is used to explore the response and feedback of Antarctic basal melt in various climate scenarios. The inclusion of ice-shelf cavities provides more comprehensive insight into Southern Ocean dynamics and could improve future climate models.

Increasing burden of poor mental health attributable to high temperature in Australia

Mon, 04/14/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 14 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02309-x

The authors assess the current and future burden of mental and behavioural disorders across Australia. They show that high temperatures contributed 1.8% of Australia’s mental and behavioural disorder burden in the 2010s with expected increases to 2.4–2.8% by the 2050s and highlight the need for both adaptation and mitigation.

Enhanced vegetation productivity driven primarily by rate not duration of carbon uptake

Thu, 04/10/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 10 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02311-3

Using satellite and carbon-flux data, the authors show that enhanced gross primary productivity in recent decades is driven primarily by increases in the rate, rather than the duration, of carbon uptake. They highlight asymmetric changes in productivity across seasons, which may worsen under climate change.

Subsurface heatwaves in lakes

Thu, 04/10/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 10 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02314-0

Heatwaves in lakes are increasing with climate change, but are typically studied at the surface; little is known about heatwave dynamics with depth. This study finds subsurface heatwaves last longer, but are less intense than surface heatwaves and have increased in frequency over the past 40 years.

Regional conditions determine thresholds of accelerated Antarctic basal melt in climate projection

Thu, 04/10/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 10 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02306-0

Melting from below is crucial for the future evolution of Antarctic ice shelves. Here the authors use an Earth system model with explicit simulations of ice-shelf cavities to show how regional hydrography and topography determine when an ice shelf will undergo rapid melting.

Decarbonization can improve energy security

Wed, 04/09/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 09 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02317-x

Moving towards net-zero carbon emissions reduces reliance on fossil fuels but requires geographically concentrated materials for clean energy technologies. Now research finds countries can reduce emerging materials risks by expanding trading partnerships.

Trade risks to energy security in net-zero emissions energy scenarios

Wed, 04/09/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 09 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02305-1

Trade risks associated with fossil fuels and critical materials matter for energy security, and will evolve with the low-carbon transition. Here the researchers find that overall trade risks decrease for most countries in net-zero scenarios, although risks to electricity or transportation sectors may increase.

Silence among farmers

Mon, 04/07/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 07 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02320-2

Silence among farmers

Humans fuel stronger cyclones

Mon, 04/07/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 07 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02321-1

Humans fuel stronger cyclones

Attributing soybean production shocks

Mon, 04/07/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 07 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02319-9

Attributing soybean production shocks

Regulation on conglomerates

Mon, 04/07/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 07 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02322-0

Regulation on conglomerates

Data under duress

Mon, 04/07/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 07 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02323-z

Climate change and climate action are socially and politically divisive topics in many countries. In addition to contributing to political disparity, climate research is also affected by political context, with consequences not only for scientists but for society as well.

The emotional toll of fieldwork

Fri, 04/04/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 04 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02301-5

The emotional toll of fieldwork

Enhance responsible governance to match the scale and pace of marine–climate interventions

Thu, 04/03/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 03 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02292-3

Oceans are on the frontline of an array of new marine–climate actions that are both poorly understood and under-regulated. Development and deployment of these interventions is outpacing governance readiness to address risks and ensure responsible transformation and effective action.

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