Nature Climate Change

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Nature Climate Change is a monthly journal dedicated to publishing high-quality research papers that describe the most significant and cutting-edge research on the causes, impacts and wider implications of global climate change. The journal publishes climate research across the physical, biological and social sciences and strives to integrate and communicate interdisciplinary research. The journal aims to play a leading role in: providing accessibility to a broad audience to research published both within and outside the journal; raising the visibility of climate change research in related research communities as well as the mainstream media; and offering a forum for discussion of the challenges faced by researchers and policy makers (and other interested parties) in understanding the complex mechanisms and impacts associated with the Earth’s changing climate.
Updated: 23 min 11 sec ago

Breaking the language barrier in adaptation

Tue, 03/10/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 10 March 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02515-7

Youth-led translation efforts provide solutions to make climate knowledge accessible worldwide.

Antarctic minerals in a warming world

Mon, 03/09/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 09 March 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02586-0

Climate change will expose new ice-free areas of Antarctica. Now a study explores how climate change might spur the first ‘gold rush’ on the unexploited continent.

Additionality requirements of carbon markets could penalize Indigenous stewardship

Wed, 03/04/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 04 March 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02576-2

Despite strong evidence that Indigenous stewardship sustains biodiversity and carbon stocks, carbon markets typically reward recovery from degradation rather than protection, often excluding Indigenous-managed lands. Rethinking additionality could align climate mitigation with care, equity and long-term ecosystem stewardship.

Author Correction: The hard road back from overshoot

Tue, 03/03/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 03 March 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02604-1

Author Correction: The hard road back from overshoot

Technological improvements in EV batteries offset climate-induced durability challenges

Mon, 03/02/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 02 March 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02579-z

Electric vehicles (EV) will be widely adopted in the near future, but worsening climate change will impact the performance and longevity of EV batteries. This research reveals the scale and distribution of these effects and how technological advancements could mitigate battery lifetime reductions.

Prospects and challenges of risk-based insurance pricing for disaster adaptation

Fri, 02/27/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 27 February 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02577-1

Regulation of property insurance pricing involves trade-offs that will determine how disaster risks impact households’ budgets. Allowing prices to reflect property-specific risks offers several benefits, but may cause a range of negative unintended consequences associated with declines in coverage.

Melt channelization stronger than previously recognized

Fri, 02/27/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 27 February 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02568-2

Melting beneath floating Antarctic ice shelves is a major driver of ice-shelf mass loss and is projected to increase over the coming century. High-resolution maps of Antarctic basal-melt rates reveal stronger melt within narrow basal channels than previously recognized, making some ice shelves more vulnerable to additional melt channelization.

Implications of overshoot for climate mitigation strategies

Fri, 02/27/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 27 February 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02563-7

A temporary breach of the temperature target, or overshoot, is unavoidable. The authors review the history of how overshoot evolved in mitigation pathways, the magnitude and outcomes of potential physical and socio-economic impacts, and priorities for future model and scenario development.

Climate change on television reaches the engaged but misses distant audiences

Wed, 02/25/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 25 February 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02575-3

Although widely used, television is underexplored in climate communication. Here analysis of German television programmes and audience perceptions shows that climate change coverage is concentrated in news formats and engages climate supporters, but misses climate-distant audiences drawn to entertainment.

Weighting for net zero

Tue, 02/24/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 24 February 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02556-6

Policy and planning increasingly depend on large ensembles of climate and energy scenarios, but these collections can be biased and hard to interpret. A new weighting framework aims to make these ensembles more transparent, balanced and decision relevant.

The hard road back from overshoot

Tue, 02/24/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 24 February 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02573-5

As global temperatures move beyond 1.5 °C, overshoot now defines the landscape ahead, sharpening legal claims, exposing economic risks and revealing how far politics still trail the pace of change.

Emotional responses to state repression predict collective climate action intentions

Tue, 02/24/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 24 February 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02570-8

As climate activists escalate disruptive protest, authorities respond by intensifying restrictions on protest. This study examines how protest repression shapes climate activism and indicates distinct effects across collective action types and repression experience, with emotions as mediators.

A weighting framework to improve the use of emissions scenario ensembles of opportunity

Tue, 02/24/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 24 February 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02565-5

Scenario ensembles are widely used in climate change research, while their opportunistic nature could lead to biased outcomes in following analysis. Focusing on relevance, quality and diversity, researchers develop a simple and transparent weighting framework to address these challenges.

Learning about urban adaptation using similarity-based partnerships

Mon, 02/23/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 23 February 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02566-4

Adaptation is often viewed as a local, highly contextual challenge; however, given the regional nature of many climate risks, adaptation could benefit from municipal collaboration. Here, I present four avenues of collaboration that support learning, discuss their advantages, and reflect on their effectiveness and challenges for urban adaptation.

Emergence of Antarctic mineral resources in a warming world

Fri, 02/20/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 20 February 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02569-1

Melting ice and associated sea-level change will expose new land in Antarctica. Here the authors quantify this change and combine it with our understanding of known Antarctic mineral occurrences, showing that substantial mineral deposits may become accessible over the next few centuries in Antarctica.

Defining transformational adaptation and why it matters

Mon, 02/16/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 16 February 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02550-4

A three-round survey of climate change adaptation experts — researchers and practitioners from across the globe — reveals that there is broad agreement on 13 elements that are foundational for defining transformational adaptation to climate risks. Nevertheless, there are differences between response groups on which aspects of transformational adaptation matter the most.

Mapping tipping risks from Antarctic ice basins under global warming

Mon, 02/16/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 16 February 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02554-0

Climate change threatens the future of the Antarctic Ice Sheet. Here the authors show that individual drainage basins have different thresholds and loss patterns, suggesting the need to consider the dynamical interactive nature of the basins and their individual tipping points.

Growing cropland emissions

Fri, 02/13/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 13 February 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02571-7

Planning for climate action in food systems requires disaggregated spatial information on greenhouse gas emissions and removals. Now, a study on the major emission sources for global croplands yields such emissions estimates, identifies the locations of hotspots and assesses mitigation trade-offs with food productivity.

ENSO shapes salinity regimes and fish migration in the China Seas

Fri, 02/13/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 13 February 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02559-3

This study shows that the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) drives sea surface salinity (SSS) variability in the China Seas through coupled freshwater and oceanic processes, influencing regional fisheries. Under a warming climate, projected intensification of ENSO will amplify SSS heterogeneity.

Emergent climate change signals within Antarctic sea ice and associated ecosystems

Fri, 02/13/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 13 February 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02561-9

The authors model the emergence of climate-driven changes in Antarctic sea ice, phytoplankton, krill, fish and penguins. They show earlier emergence for higher trophic levels, as well as highly seasonal and regional responses.

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